yo is china selling bitcoin on the open market and dumping the price well we have some new data from reuters that reveals that local chinese governments have been recently selling thousands of bitcoin while america looks poised to buy more could china's secret selling help explain why the price of bitcoin hasn't mooned in the first 90 days of the trump administration despite the administration being pro bitcoin i've seen three wild bull markets in my nine years in bitcoin and this perhaps could be the second time that china has attempted to cancel a bull run now what do i mean by that well the 2021 bull run was really interesting because if you take a look at the hash rate and you take a look at the price of bitcoin it seems like china banned bitcoin mining in the middle of the last bull run and you can make an argument some people have making it been making an argument that that was the reason as to why we didn't reach 100k in 2021 so before we start the show i do want to bring up our special guests for today we have jameson lop cto and co-founder of casa and of course my legendary co-host who's always optimistic optimist fields so let's go through some of the data what is it that i'm talking about so this is the bitcoin price and the hash rate you see the hash rate absolutely fell off a cliff it jumped it dropped by 50 percent and that was the first china mining ban now that was a blessing in disguise after the fact because after that mining ban the the hash rate decentralized in the process uh some of it went to texas a lot of it went to texas a lot of it went around the world so it was a blessing in disguise and of course the hash rate recovered but a lot of people were speculating essentially that china did this on purpose to essentially you know stop the last bull run and as you can see the price and the hash rate you can make an argument that there's a correlation there right so what am i talking about in today's news check out this recent reuters article that dropped yesterday then the headline for the audio listeners is china debates how to handle criminal crypto cache it goes on to say china's growing uh growing pile of cryptocurrency seized from illegal transactions is prompting local governments to find ways to dispose of the horde and spurring calls from courts and the financial industry for beggar for better regulation lawyers said that the lack of rules around how authorities should handle seized bitcoin and other tokens whose trading is banned on the mainland has spawned inconsistent and opaque approaches that some fear could embolden lawbreakers and foster corruption that goes on to say together with together with senior judges and police attorneys are debating changes to rules that said will soon change the way confiscated virtual currencies are treated that could be a game changer for china's crypto industry and comes at a time of heidencino us tensions in donald trump's second presidency coinciding with trump's plans to deregulate cryptocurrencies and build a bitcoin reserve crypto trading is banned in china and digital tokens are not recognized as legal tender or assets there but local governments have been using private companies to sell seize digital coins in exchange for cash to replenish public coffers strengthened by slowing uh strained by slowing economy according to transactions and court documents seen by reuters which disposed on the right and in the right and that's the right and that is the right and that's the right better supervision is press is pressing as the number of cases and amounts of money balloons said chen who attended a seminar in january to discuss the issue with various officials it goes on to say a shenzhen based lawyer who has also attended the seminar said china's ban on crypto trading conflicts with local authorities need to liquidate seized digital assets a senior partner at beijing's uh a beijing law firm thinks china's central bank is better positioned to handle the cryptocurrencies and should either sell them overseas or build a crypto reserve from seized tokens like trump plans to do so that's again the lots of signal in this article signal number one even with the you know no one is better than their incentives don't pay attention to what they say pay attention to what they do despite you know selling and trading of bitcoin being illegal in china local governments themselves are selling bitcoin to kind of you know i'm assuming to fund let's say let's put it nicely to fund you know local government and the other part here which i find really interesting as well is there's a hint in that right which is perhaps you know the central bank of government of china follows in the footsteps of the trump administration and establishes a bitcoin reserve as well it goes on to say discussions have heated up this year alongside a surge in criminal cases in china involving cryptocurrencies ranging from internet fraud to money laundering and illegal gambling the number of busts crypto crimes have coincided with a jump in local government's penalty and confiscatory incomes which hit a record of 378 billion yuan in 2023 a 26 65 rise in five years according to official budget data according to official budget data a lawyer who advises local governments on crypto related issues said seize cryptocurrencies have become a major contributor to local finances in some cities so i mean you can kind of see the moral hazard there right if a big portion of a local government's revenue comes from seizing cryptocurrencies you have to take that local government's word that they really are seizing cryptocurrencies because they're involved in crime and not because they have a monopoly on violence and they're just seizing cryptocurrencies to seize cryptocurrencies so there's a ton of signal this article and it's quite interesting so i mean you could make the case uh that you know it's a lot of cell pressure if you take a look at the the amount of bitcoin that's held by these local chinese governments it amounts to about 15 000 bitcoin and now we know in april right that they've been apparently selling thousands of these bitcoin for the last couple of months a lot of people were expecting the price of bitcoin to moon after a pro uh uh bitcoin administration with uh trump going in but it seems like it hasn't done that at all and another thing too that also there's some similarities between what is happening over there and what's happening here in the us is uh in the us we saw this article was published in in february 21st us us marshal services can't say how much crypto it holds complicated bitcoin reserve plan now part of the strategic bitcoin reserve executive order that donald trump signed he basically told all the federal agencies that they needed to report by april 5th how much bitcoin the us federal government holds we still haven't heard um sorry about that guys i'm important like just went out do it with my local microphone there we go it's back so we still don't know how much this is crazy um we still don't know how much bitcoin the u.s government holds right so yeah i mean it's a lot of similarities there uh uh you could i mean it also kind of creates the moral hazard because it's like you know like you are trusting these officials to you know essentially play by the rules you are trusting them to you know uh not skim a little bit off the top um and it seems like you know according to that article from reuters it seems like officials in china at least like on the you know top government level are fearing just that so anyways lots of similarities this could have been the cause of the downward cell pressure i want to get lops thoughts on this first of all lop i want to get your thoughts on just a government having a strategic reserve in general it seems like china might fall in the footsteps of the united states seems like europe might follow in the footsteps of the united states do you think that's a good idea for bitcoin at all lop what are your thoughts well i mean bitcoin itself doesn't really care and the incentives are set up such that you know everyone and every entity i think has an incentive to look into using this as a long-term store of value but you know this is where it can get kind of funny to see people talk about governments as if they're monolithic entities you know they tend to be quite large and in some cases we see uh you know hypocritical or paradoxical activities that are coming out because one portion of the government decrees one thing and then another portion says wait a minute that doesn't really work for us and i would say that i've i've felt for a while that it makes more sense for like local and regional governments to be more incentivized to have a bitcoin strategy because the national level governments are generally going to be more concerned with their own fiat printing so you know in the united states i feel like it makes more sense for individual states uh to build up their own reserves and use that as a part of their treasury management strategy but it's it's more difficult to kind of square the circle of a nation state that has one of the you know top 10 fiat currencies in the world to also be trying to do a bitcoin treasury strategy because those two things can't could potentially be in conflict with each other yeah absolutely opti what what's your take on what uh what lap was saying um yeah i mean i i totally agree uh but i i think uh it is the most interesting part about this i think if you put china and the america in like a historical contract context and like a monetary war it's pretty interesting like if this is true or rather if china is essentially going to be selling all of their bitcoin at this moment obviously they're discussing whether they should huddle their bitcoin whether they should sell the seized bitcoin again we don't know what's going on on the federal level in the us we still haven't got a bitcoin audit from the united states so they claim to own 200 000 bitcoin senator lummis has been saying that maybe the biden administration has been selling some of that bitcoin we don't know where the cell pressure is coming from now we are kind of getting these reports from reuters also we kind of have to trust reuters on this they're like yeah we saw these transactions you know we we don't know what's coming from china but the point remains the same we really don't know how much bitcoin china or the us holds at this point so we can i guess at this point argue that there's probably less bitcoin at the nation state level but again putting this into historical context it's very interesting to see china make this move if they double down on this move and sell all the bitcoin that they own you know historically china stayed on the silver standard while the us and everyone else moved to a gold standard if they make this same mistake with bitcoin and they go like now what hundreds of years later to the gold standard while the us goes to a bitcoin standard it's going to be one of the biggest mistakes in monetary history in my opinion so it's very interesting to see that they are actually considering this and again love them or hate them the trump effect is in effect it is happening ever since trump came out and said they're going to be more pro bitcoin everyone around the world has to adjust their bitcoin stance and we're seeing this play out you know this announcement that we got a couple weeks ago about them essentially hodling all the bitcoin that all the c's bitcoin they get they're not going to sell anymore and it's going to be their strategic bitcoin reserve i think the same incentives and concerns that you said about china are you know very real concerns and valid concerns in the us but the point remains the same if china sells all their bitcoin and the u.s starts hodling all their bitcoin and we really are going to see a fork in the road and obviously i i'm not sure if i fully agree with nico's theory that china killed the last bull run yes there's some correlations there i mean hold on hold on hold on lop what do you think do you think it's a coincidence that the the hash rate and the bitcoin price dropped the way to i'm going to pull this up because you guys might call me crazy but i mean i'm definitely not seeing something like it's it's it's very apparent let me let me pull this i mean there was it was a massive economic disruption was let's see that was in 2021 i mean i would also question like when was all of the fallout from the credit bubble you know lending collapse happening it might have been around the same time yeah it was pretty similar but i mean look i think i think nation states should sell all their bitcoin and the main reason for that is that i think it's too early like i would prefer to have more time for bitcoin to be distributed further amongst individuals before nation states and big institutions come in and hoover it all up because there is some systemic risk here just think about it you know when when a new entity especially one with a lot of money comes in and decides to take a significant stake in this network from a financial perspective they're going to start caring about it more and that's one of the things that i miss is that i i much preferred the days of bitcoin when nation states generally didn't care about it other than you know from a law enforcement perspective um you know if you think about one of the scariest phrases in the english language is i'm from the government and i'm here to help and that's that's kind of one of the things that i'm afraid of if the major nation states get too interested in bitcoin is what they then might try to do from a sort of governance perspective yeah absolutely and as the meme goes this is the real separation of money and state is when governments start dumping their bitcoin so i back lob so let me ask you something else lob so you know you've been in the industry for for for quite a while do you does it surprise you that we're here right because you know i'm you know i'm i'm i'm i'm class of 2016. it was the wild west back then um you know you're from a much earlier class does it does it uh you know does it surprise you that you know bitcoin has essentially been uh given the rubber stamp of approval by you know by you know the most powerful government on the face of the planet um you know the most powerful asset manager on the face of the planet all of a sudden you know they're pro bitcoin i remember in the early days uh that was not the case at all right there was regulatory uncertainty uh the you know i remember when apple just said no bitcoin wants on the app right like it it was much more it was like the wild west back then and i can't even imagine you know the the 20 uh the 2014 2015 or the 2013 era what that must have been like so uh what has been your experience seeing all of this unfold the way it has yeah i mean the the game theory and the the viral network effect has generally played out as expected though it's been a lot faster than i ever thought and you know the way that these cycles of adoption happen is you know you have a new cohort come in usually as a result of a new narrative and they get interested in it and they start looking at it from a new perspective and usually come up with new narratives themselves and also uh you know pull in more popular more reputable more wealthy entities and and that sort of is is how you pull yourselves up by your bootstraps from a a network virality effect and so to to kind of sum up the thing that i was more surprised about and underestimated is i underestimated how quickly it would go from being uh you know anarchists to software engineers to tech entrepreneurs to then very quickly to the like billionaires and tech giants and then nation state level is that that last um that last adoption cycle i thought was going to take a lot longer to get to the nation state level where people actually take it seriously because the you know billionaire asset managers have taken it seriously and and that goes back you know each cycle before and before as we bootstrap this network and the reputation absolutely and lop like what where are we in the you're talking about the adoption cycle where are we in the adoption cycle because oh we i talk to a lot of people i guess that's my job as a podcaster right um and they always say nico you know we're still early we're still early we're still early from someone who has been in bitcoin since the early days my oh my oh my response to you know and a lot of them are my friends and you know this is the whole point about having discussions right my response is like dude the u.s government has the intention to buy bitcoin there's no way we're still early like that doesn't make any sense what's your take lop well yeah i mean that's why it's confusing um we're early in the sense that we're still a long ways away from what i would consider uh deep adoption deep widespread adoption uh this the surprising thing like i was just talking about is how quickly it's kind of did a speed run from being plebs to billionaires to nation states but even across all of those cohorts the actual level of adoption uh amongst all of those peers in any specific subgroup is still quite small it's just happened to to kind of jump from group to group all the way up to the nation state level but you know even at the nation state level there's only a handful of nation states that are dealing with it seriously i think a lot of them like china are still just dealing with it as oh this is just some other asset that we accidentally require as a result of law enforcement actions and now we need to figure out how to get rid of it um it's only because of what's been happening in the united states that i think other nation states will start to more seriously consider looking at this as a long-term strategy but you know we're still early from that perspective and we're definitely still early from a mainstream adoption perspective like i look at a ton of different statistics both um from the network adoption level and from general like search engine queries and and other metrics that could kind of judge retail interest and from everything i've seen we have yet to really get back to the level of retail fomo that we saw in the like 2017 2018 era a lot of the metrics that i follow are still quite muted and i think that that really is a result of the fact that a lot of the inflows to bitcoin are really coming from a small number of hands this the institutions are here it's still a small number of institutions but i feel like the vast majority of of retail people are still really turned off to the entire ecosystem probably a lot of them that were interested got burned in previous cycles and have basically said you know i'm not going to deal with this for the foreseeable future a hundred percent and by the way i i echo what you said was spot on this is a chart by the way guys of google trends and this is 2017. so even with the 2021 bull market and the i don't i don't even know if you would call this a bull market whatever we are in right now um you know what lop has said is 100 spot on we haven't seen that that retail interest now my question to you lop is it is it because of the unit bias right because i remember in 2017 we started the year i believe it was like at a thousand or a little bit slightly less than a thousand and if you're you know it was still expensive right a thousand dollars is not cheap for you know the the everyday person but at least there was a hope of being able to acquire one full bitcoin right now that we're sitting at eighty four thousand nine hundred and thirty seven dollars do you think there's unit bias that goes into it um or do you still believe that we're going to still see another mania phase in the future i mean that's one factor but i think that unit bias is only going to keep the most naive and ignorant people out and and so from that perspective i actually like it um you know there have been proposals that we should you know rename the satoshi to bitcoin so that we can get rid of the unit bias but what is that really going to do i mean i think that that would result in more ignorant people buying in because they're like oh it's cheap and i can afford it but you know you look at other assets and you know people don't say um you know i'm not going to buy gold because it's three thousand dollars i think they're quite clear on the fact that it's subdivisible uh however you want to acquire it and so i see unit bias as just a way of keeping ignorant people out you know if you if you think you have to buy a whole bitcoin you definitely shouldn't buy any bitcoin because you don't know enough about it to be a responsible bitcoin owner absolutely and then final question before we move on to next segment lop what's going on with this bull market a lot of people were expecting if you compare the cycles right you know a lot of people were expecting bitcoin to be a lot higher right now you know as we all know if you've been in bitcoin for a while expectations are bitcoin has a has a way of just destroying any expectation you might have um it takes the the route of maximum pain um but what is your take as someone who's been in the industry for a long time what is your you know how are you feeling right now with this current cycle where we are in the movie lop it's weird um you know i've i've been pretty surprised for example that sailor has been able to continue hoovering up so much bitcoin under a hundred thousand dollars and i think a lot of us have had this question of like who is selling all their coins to sailor and you know maybe it is nation states um maybe it is uh bitcoin billionaires who have to fund their space launches it's hard to say you know unless unless these people are coming out and explicitly saying you know i'm i'm selling a bunch of bitcoin then uh the you know the only folks who really know are the operators of like the exchanges and the otc disks and who is selling all this bitcoin lot is it just ogs that are just they're just they're they're they're just sick they're just like you know what i've held from a hundred bucks it's at a hundred thousand i'm gonna go buy a house i'm gonna go buy a plane uh i'm gonna retire uh what's your take yeah i mean i'm sure there is some of that but in general in a lot of the the chat rooms and stuff that i'm in it's it's just a lot of confusion uh most people of course who have been in the space for a long time are kind of stupefied that people would be selling their bitcoin for on under a hundred thousand but that's the way it goes and you uh you can only sell once right so you know eventually we do expect that the available supply that's for sale is going to get exhausted it's just it's been surprising that it's it's gone on for so long but um i think that it's pretty clear that some of the big boys are going to keep buying and we're going to see some new institutions coming into the space just as a result of this latest cohort that is starting to take bitcoin more seriously absolutely and then lop like my question for you is is i keep getting more questions um my question for you is like so okay so yeah so you're surprised too right because we're surprised as well kind of anyone doesn't know okay my question is is it possible now that wall street has essentially become involved now that governments have become involved does it does rehypothecation at all concern you like could there be a risk of paper bitcoin um and that potentially could be the reason as to why we haven't seen this upward you know buy pressure because yeah look sailor's been buying that bitcoin it's on paper and coinbase holds it right and he has that bitcoin but if we don't have the on-chain data as we have with el salvador at least el salvador made their reserve public we know at least you know that reserve is going up or it's going down we kind of have to take their word for it or is that a naive way of looking at it lop yeah i i wrote an article a couple of years ago when all of this etf stuff started popping off and i basically said you know this is a a systemic risk from a few different perspectives one of them i would say which worries me more than how rehypothecation could result in price suppression is i'm worried about your long-term governance and i'm i'm worried that if too much bitcoin flows into too few hands you know we already have read these etf prospectuses that uh basically give the power of deciding what the real bitcoin is uh in a fork scenario to these handful of etf providers so you know that could put a wrinkle in things if we have some sort of proposal on the table that you know perhaps a lot of the bitcoin ecosystem wants but for some reason the custodians or perhaps their regulators or you know governments that essentially have control over them say no we we want you to actually you know economically vote against that um the rehypothecation thing is tricky you know for example a lot of the futures markets are actually cash settled rather than uh settled with spot so you could argue that a lot of that is kind of fake in the sense that these people aren't trading real bitcoin a lot of those futures markets have quite a bit of volume and and and really this is another reason why self-custody is important is you know the only way to truly know that the bitcoin that you think you own belongs to you is to actually take control of it and so i think if you if we had more people that were taking self-custody that would kind of force um the the true price to be to be closer to what it is or at least to reduce the risk that the price is being manipulated because the the quote-unquote available supply uh that is being traded on tradfi platforms is not actually correct yes 100 i i can't i can't echo that enough and one of the things that i've noticed this cycle lop is just uh again i'm not going to name any names but like this kind of normalization of not owning bitcoin but owning like the etf or noni or owning kind of like a leverage exposure in the stock market of bitcoin and kind of the normalization of trying to equate the two it's like oh you know i have the etf but it's like no that's not real bitcoin that's not real bitcoin in in in spot so i mean in self-custody so yes i i completely agree uh it's never been as important as it is today to learn how to take self-custody and uh that gets me excited because during the culture segment we're going to be talking about casa cops casa makes taking self-custody incredibly easy without giving up custody and uh it makes it it's somewhat it makes it easier uh it makes it convenient the the ui the ux is absolutely incredible and of course uh we have the co-founder one of the co-founders with us today jameson lopp to talk about all things casa which we're 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store head over to stamp seed.com today all right everybody we are back at the time of recording the bitcoin price is eighty five thousand one hundred and sixty dollars block height eight hundred ninety two thousand seven hundred and two sats per dollar one thousand one hundred seventy four market cap one point six nine trillion bitcoin verse gold market cap seven point one eight percent percentage issued ninety four point five three percent decline from all-time high negative twenty two percent realize monetary inflation point eight five percent i also want to give a shout out to the live stream we have two thousand four hundred and eleven people watching live six hundred and twenty three of you guys watching live on youtube alone if you guys are enjoying the show so far smash that like button help us break 300 likes by the end of the show we're already at 150 likes smash that like button so today i kind of want to continue the conversation that i was having on yesterday's show uh and it seems like at least some senators are watching simply bitcoin because breaking just since senator mike lee calls to abolish the irs and federal reserve uh we've been talking about the overton window take a shot i see someone in the chat saying you guys are waiting for for nico to say overton window i said it uh but i kept saying this i'm like guys look it's great we have a pro bitcoin president in the white house that's awesome awesome but i think people are you know they're they're they're losing the end goal should be the to end the fed like let's be honest here we've been saying that for a couple weeks now yes it's great we have a pro bitcoin administration yes the end of operation choke point 2.0 ross is free that's absolutely awesome that's amazing but you know it'd be dope if we ended the fed it'd be dope if we ended the irs but we have to move that overton window and that overton window seems to be shifting uh it seems like the collect collective consciousness uh might be having similar thoughts because we have now a us senator senator mike lee he calls to abolish the irs and the federal reserve and also it's not only senators this is uh apparently the president does as well so president trump wants to eliminate income tax here's how much extra you take home if you make 75k a year we've heard howard lutnik talk about this as well um they their goal is to use the revenue from tariffs to replace the irs so essentially instead of it being the irs they want to create the external revenue service so the ers i don't know if that makes sense but anyhow i have a video of the great ron paul uh talking about income tax uh let's check it out and then we'll talk about it you can't you can't have a government like this without an income tax but we don't want a government like this this is not the kind of government that was designed by our founders of the country it's not what was written in the constitution we've only had an income tax since 1913 but if you want a welfare state and if you want to police the world and pay for the defense of japan and germany send foreign aid to the soviet union you not only need the income tax you need the federal reserve to print up the money when the deficit is accumulated so we think the government should be much smaller if government is so this is exactly what we were talking about yesterday uh we were talking about it we talked about 1913 we talked about how you know is it feasible to have a government uh you know without an income tax and the answer is yes but the question goes to what is the role of government what should be the role of government if you want the role of government to be much larger how it is today then yes you do need an income tax because you need to pay for all of that somehow but if you believe in small government if that's even i'm convinced like even with the best intentions it's going to be very difficult for anyone to decrease the size of government that's my own interpretation of everything that's going on but uh yeah i mean lop i don't think i've ever heard your thoughts and opinions on this specific matter uh what are they man like you know what's good like is the i'll start it off with this is the overton window shifting are more and more people waking up to the idea that perhaps the federal reserve wasn't a great idea perhaps you know i'm not getting in return what i am paying in taxes lop what are your thoughts well i mean i think people are realizing that they're not getting what they want from their taxes but you know this is this is a a common coordination problem with the welfare state uh where you're basically talking about wealth redistribution so where is the money going and of course this is i think the the bigger problem when it comes to the united states government and our budget is that even if you look at what doge has been doing and you know cutting a lot of waste it's being more than offset by the spending increases that congress is looking at so uh it's kind of uh it's a band-aid on a gunshot wound i guess it's like we're continuing to hemorrhage large amounts of uh fiscal power and you know you can try to look around and say okay we're going to change you know where we get our revenue from but i feel like it's more straightforward to try to cut what we're spending on than it is to you know try to find more so a big part of that is of course the fact that this is team america world police and we outspend everybody else when it comes to defense so you have to ask whether or not you're okay with the united states becoming more isolationist and what effects that might have upon the world and geopolitics and the global economy yeah i think it's an excellent answer opti what's your take on this i mean it's crazy man we were talking about this yesterday um and it's crazy that you know senators saying this as well of course you have the administration but you know as lop was pointing out right there are kind of you can call it trade-offs right um and depending on you know what type of society you want to live in um you know a lot of us i think would would want smaller government but at the same time um uh you know at the same time you know the era of kind of world police you know that has to be paid for in a sense right so opti uh what's your take on all this man uh this is an interesting discussion bro uh we're we're moving the overton window you know uh let's see what happens opti what's your take well first of all i do think it's very interesting that we are seeing senators and politicians or elon musk etc very high profile people talk about this for it seemed like forever it was just ron paul was the only one that was saying this and now it does seem like it's become an acceptable topic of discourse where people are even bringing it up you know trump's been saying it or at least alluding to it we're seeing other politicians allude to it so it is uh i'm just reminded of that ron paul meme where he's with like the ninja turtles or something and we were all babies and now he's uh uh i'm i'm blanking on the the the old guy you know the rat guy but it feels like ron paul has finally come onto the world stage and people are actually taking his thoughts seriously it seems forever that he was just you know relinquished to a corner of political discourse and now people are actually bringing these ideas up and taking them very seriously now to the actual question of will they eliminate the fed i mean my personal bias is that of course you know the fed isn't federal and has no reserves it's the biggest ponzi scheme in the world right now and it should totally be eliminated it's a cancerous institution as thomas soul would always say so those are my views on it but do i think that they will willingly and the fed i doubt it i think they're going to be forced to basically reel back and on the idea of america being the world police like you know i know there is geopolitical ramifications of of what that would mean if we pulled back but i am kind of uh i'm kind of in favor of a little more of a isolationism in the u.s i i think that would be a good thing but of course there there's a lot of tricky complex nuanced conversations that have to go about this but i'm not a fan of the military industrial complex and as we've seen the military industrial complex has not been turned off since world war ii but we are now getting to a stage where it is kind of imploding on itself the interest payments of u.s debt is getting out of control it's literally past the military industrial complex at this point and it's becoming unattainable as we've been saying they're going to have to continue to print money so we're getting to a point now where the federal government is is being forced to actually make these decisions and will they actually end the fed like i highly doubt it i don't think they will turn off the machine they will or turn off the machine willingly they will they will be forced to or else the the fiat system implodes on itself like we almost saw it last week you know trump tried to make a very strong move almost blew up the bond market and he's like actually you know this was our plan all along we're gonna have to roll this stuff back so they can try to manipulate fiat currencies but we're going to see unintended consequences and of course this is why we're bitcoiners and we constantly tell people like you want to have a neutral money that no government can manipulate this is why you should be saving bitcoin even if it's a small portion of your total wealth like you need to have some bitcoin right now it's the only safe haven asset or money or commodity or whatever you want to call it whatever framing you want to call it it's the only safe haven at the moment and the world just hasn't really woke up to it it's starting to wake up to it someone was trolling me in the chat saying that we've been calling bitcoin main yeah master splinter sorry guys ron paul is master splinter now and you know we have all taken up the the baton for him and it's becoming uh actual viable conversation in politics now which is i think beautiful and i think as more of us younger people grow up especially as bitcoiners grow up and the price of bitcoin goes up like this is going to be a very real conversation is going to happen in two years four years probably not i i'm thinking more like you know a decade or two from now we can actually do this but i don't think they're gonna have a choice we all know the end game here is they're gonna have to print more money so uh you know the fiat ponzi scheme will implode on itself but hopefully it doesn't happen as quickly as a lot of doomer bitcoiners would like it to happen absolutely guys if you guys are enjoying the show 2600 of you guys watching live smash that like button again help us break 300 likes by the time this show ends we're almost at 200 likes we're gonna hit the culture segment we're gonna be talking about all things casa so let's check it out we will be right back i want to give a shout out to our partner hive digital technology why hive in 2025 unstoppable growth as the first ever public miner hive's position to quadruple their global footprint making them one of the world's fastest growing miners in 2025 and with elite operations that consistently top the industry in bitcoin mine per exahash hive's now headquartered in the usa they're lean and mean they're green and clean and they're rewriting the playbook on sustainable bitcoin mining you can catch the latest buzz at hive digital tech or at hive digital tech dot com need liquidity without having to sell your bitcoin for more than six years now leden has been the trusted choice for bitcoin back lending with transparency security and trust at their core i absolutely love these guys and i personally not only have an account with them but also alone and some of the key features that i love about leden is the fact that there are no monthly payments you pay at the end of the term you also have the ability to roll over the loan as well and you can pay it back whenever you want essentially what they do is that they help their clients unlock the liquidity of their btc allowing you to huddle while still accessing the wealth of your bitcoin they've been battle tested with their focus on transparency security and trust allowing them to build a proven track record of client success and security helping tens of thousands of clients harness the value of their digital assets with confidence and peace of mind learn more about what your btc can do for you simply bitcoin viewers get 0.25 off their first loan by using the link in the video podcast description what are you waiting for head over to leaden.io today all right everybody we are back and of course we have the cto and co-founder of casa joining us on the show jameson lopp jameson how you doing today could you go to another page opti i don't want to look at myself i don't know you look you look so handsome here now you know i'm like now you can you go to the regular page please thank you opti okay so let's talk about all things casa take control of your bitcoin personally like i said that or you actually we changed up the segments today so you guys haven't seen the the casa ad but what i say on the cost of that every single day on simply bitcoin is i've been recommending this to my friends and family for years obviously because i want them to uh you know have all the advantages of multi-key security and some of the things that i absolutely love about the casa app is that if you lose a key it makes it incredibly easy to replace that key within the app and also i believe casa holds a key themselves so again you know there's a lot of you can make mistakes and it's not as punishing as a single key setup or if you lose the words or you know you forget the pin to your device and you lose the words i've heard stories of that you know it comes to a tragic end so you know casa kind of holds you through it you know they they walk you through this um so jameson i'm gonna give you the microphone you know to our audience right now i'm assuming the majority we've we've done polls on this before the majority of our audience you know has their bitcoin in self-custody why should they look at an app like casa i mean it mainly comes down to how confident you are that your own setup is sufficiently robust against all of the potential dangers of loss when you go from a trusted third party setup to a self-custody you generally you reduce a lot of the risk of theft or rug pull but you're taking on a lot of responsibility and you're opening yourself up to a lot of new potential forms of loss generally you know from making mistakes and and losing keys over a long period of time and you know getting locked out of your own coins so you know there's a ton of different options out there for people to do self-custody many of which are really do it yourself don't really get any support um you know if you want the most extreme uh private version of doing self-custody then ultimately you can't get help from anyone you have to do it all yourself and for people who have the the time and resources and knowledge to do that then you absolutely should go that route um what we're really targeting are the people who perhaps they're not confident enough to take self-custody they don't understand all the risks and best practices or the people who have been in a you know straightforward maybe single signature hardware setup for a long time but that value has 10x or 100x gone through the roof and now they are looking for something that's more robust that can tolerate having failures happen you you don't want your entire life savings to evaporate because of one thing that went wrong and resulted in catastrophe so really what we're doing is we're fighting against the convenience of giving all your money to a trusted third party and our our primary value add i would say is letting people sleep better at night knowing that if and when something goes wrong they're not going to lose access to their coins and so there's a variety of different mechanisms that go into play there you know having multiple keys using a diversity of different software hardware devices having them distributed geographically and then also offering an inheritance option where we essentially help you set up game theory so that you can share a key with a beneficiary and not give them access to your coins until after you actually get hit by a truck so a lot of this is just us having spent so much time in the market having seen so many catastrophes and people lose their coins in different ways and building our product and our service such that it automatically guides you down the best path so that you can avoid a lot of the foot guns that are out there totally it looks like puerto rico we lost nico but i uh i have one question or he's back i'm back i apologize puerto rico and as you could tell the power has gone out and the internet has gone out but i'll be back home in about a week or so um and i appreciate the but i did hear uh uh jameson's breakdown and this is exactly why i recommend it to essentially family and friends and there's two plans that you guys offer which is the two of three setup and then the three of five the three of five is so cool because it feels like a two of three why do i say that so um because one of the keys are on your phone one of the keys uh yeah one of the keys are on your phone and then of course you have the option to i believe you have the option to have three uh jameson help me out here my mind is blanking okay yeah three separate hardware devices preferably different manufacturers to uh eliminate uh potential supply chain issues absolutely and then so the two of three you have the option to have one of the keys on your phone one of the one of the keys casa holds and then you have the you have the option to use a you know a hardware wallet of your choice of course our our sponsor our partner cold card is compatible with the casa app and then the three of five it feels like a two of three because essentially you can sign with uh with your phone and you sign with two hardware wallets so if you have the two of three set up with two hardware wallets the three of five signing process feels almost identical to the two of three signing process and i don't know if you guys did that by design or it was just happenstance but it definitely feels really cool and there's haptic feedbacks along the way to make you feel good um so yeah lop yeah i mean look we're always trying to find the sweet spot between convenience and security um you know that's why we do have a mobile key even though the mobile key is strictly less secure because it is a hot key uh but you know uh the nice thing about that key is that you get an automatic encrypted backup and then we're also able to build uh key sharing features off of that so that you can uh securely share the encrypted version of that key you know with a inheritance beneficiary for example and then we don't allow them to unlock it unless a six month waiting you know cooling off period goes by after which they claim that you have passed away so there's some really interesting game theory and flexibility that you can set up when you have a multi-key solution and also with casa uh holding one of those keys offline as well just helps us be able to facilitate spending and you know get you out of certain situations where things may have gone wrong it can also just be a convenience thing for example if we have a client who has keys that are distributed you know all over a country or sometimes even across multiple countries and they don't want to have to travel too much then you know they can sign with their mobile key and then go get a hardware key and then request a signature from us and you know we'll have to go through the authentication process that they've set up beforehand in order to prove themselves to us so that we will sign it absolutely and then also one of the things that you know one of the things that i love that you guys do is the inheritance and i i keep here seeing in the chat people keep bringing up you know uh helaine's savage comment alzheimer's is rampant this could be a problem uh inheritance planning is the important thing also if i get bonked in the head i can't remember my name um so and then someone else asked um is jade wallet compatible and then opti people are asking about the subscription so yeah we'll go through the we'll go through some of those questions and we'll talk about the subscription by the way guys if you go to casa.io simply you get 10 off any time either casa standard or casa premium um they're really cool the casa the casa premium is the three of five the casa standard is the two of three both are excellent um i've personally used them and i've recommend them to friends and family so uh yeah let's go through this uh lop could you break down what the inheritance process is like yeah so you know it will vary slightly depending upon your m of n setup uh for the two of three setup it's incredibly simple you can onboard an inheritor and i would say about 10 minutes you basically just have to invite them to your vault setup they download the app and then you can do this encrypted key exchange via qr codes between your apps and they're set up at that point they have an encrypted copy of your mobile key but they can't actually use it really the only thing they can do is to hit a button in the app which is to kick off the inheritance claims process that starts a six month timer and when that timer goes off we start contacting you and basically saying hey if you're still alive you really need to let us know uh you know go into the app and cancel this claim and probably kick this person out of your app so that uh they aren't going to get access to your key and um if you're in a three of five it's slightly you know more complicated because you have to do the mobile key share but then you can also share one uh hardware key and you know depending upon how sophisticated your inheritor is you know you you can have them use any of the hardware devices we support but i would say we've also added yubikey support last year which is incredibly user friendly especially for a long-term key holder setup because unlike really all of the other bitcoin specific hardware devices out there that tend to have a somewhat limited shelf life of a few years before they die or the firmware stops working there's a number of things that can go wrong the yubikey is a dead simple device i mean you can throw it through the washing machine it'll come out the other end just fine so we figure that's another interesting uh new sweet spot to hit for less technical people trying to find that that right trade off between convenience and security absolutely so the next question was is the jade wallet compatible we have not added jade support uh though i'm still i'm going to be paying attention to you know some of the the recent security uh vulnerabilities that came out around some of the chipsets uh that i think jade was using i haven't seen blockstream specifically respond i saw adam back respond this morning and he said he said it was nonsense but you know yeah exactly we'll see um you know this is is a constantly uh moving space with uh security right is that uh especially the ledger team tends to be really proactive at sort of offense uh and trying to break all of the other hardware devices out there and and really there is no perfect hardware device and that's why we suggest you know using multiple different manufacturers devices because they all have strengths and weaknesses so and one of our partners is of of course the cold card the cold card is compatible with the casa app right the cold card q and the cold card mk4 correct and then i have the website here someone was asking about the subscription so yeah let's go through the let's go through the subscription so yeah so there is the casa standard which is 21 a month uh 250 for the year and then the casa premium it's 175 a month and it's 2100 a year and then there's private client if you use promo code simply you get 10 off either the casa standard plan or the casa premium plan again i highly highly recommend this especially if you're perhaps not technically savvy or perhaps you you're you know you have your parents or your grandparents and they're holding bitcoin and you want them to hold spot bitcoin this is a great way um and lop forgive me if i'm describing it this way but i'm going away it's a great way to idiot proof a self-custody setup it acasa makes it incredibly easy i mean incredibly hard for you to lose access to your bitcoin because there's so many redundancies especially on the the the premium plan um that's how i would describe it and that's why i've been recommending it for many many years even before they were a partner i was recommending casa so anyways guys i do want to thank jameson lopp uh he's the cto and co-founder of casa for joining us on the show today jameson thank you you bet uh and you know the i think the main thing that i would uh mention is that you know this isn't just an app uh this is really security consulting service so especially at the higher tiers what you're really paying for is having dedicated client advisors that will help you with decision making processes and with dealing with any of the issues that come up from being a long-term holder and the the private client is actually takes it to the next level where it's not just security for your bitcoin but it's security for your life and that's where we'll help you with things like privacy operational security uh hardening all the other aspects of your life that ultimately still also have an effect upon the security of your bitcoin wallet awesome and guys again go to casa.io slash simply find out more go check out jameson on x he has a bunch of resources uh you can follow him at lop uh jameson thank you so much for joining us i appreciate it thanks for having me all right everybody stay tuned we are going to hit the news segment we have tons to talk about let's check it out we will be right back i want to give a shout out to our sponsor casa casa makes self-custody easy and secure as a bitcoiner i care about holding my own private keys but multi-sig can sometimes get tricky casa nails it with a multi-key security so even if one key gets lost or stolen your bitcoin stays safe and you don't give up custody meaning no one could access your bitcoin but you no seed phrase anxiety no single point of failure i've been telling my friends and family about casa for years their ux and ui on their app is by far the best in the industry inheritance planning is built in and they even offer casa for business if you're thinking about a bitcoin treasury hit up casa.io today and use promo code simply to get 10 off casa standard or casa premium head over to casa.io i want to give a shout out to our partner coin kite if you take your bitcoin security seriously you'll need the best bitcoin hardware wallet on the market to take self-custody that's where cold card comes in the cold card queue is the most advanced bitcoin signing device ever made it's got a full keyboard larger screen and nfc support making air gap signing easier than ever it's built for power users who want the ultimate security without sacrificing usability and if you're looking for a battle tested on compromising cold storage the cold card mk4 is your go-to with pspt signing an industrial grade secure element and usbc it's the perfect blend of security and convenience both devices are of course 100 bitcoin only open source and built by bitcoiners for bitcoiners secure your bitcoin the right way with the cold card q and the mk4 head over to coldcard.com today and use promo code simply to get five percent off anything on the store all right everybody we are back we have so much to cover on today's news segment first i'm going to start it off with uh this clip from jack mallers before i play you guys the clip i do read i want to read you guys the post from pete ruzo he says president trump just asked the supreme court for the authority to fire federal reserve chair jerob powell uh and here's some of the details president trump has asked the u.s supreme court to allow him to immediately fire top officials at two independent agencies okay so a lot to like uncover a lot to unpack here because again i i think as a society what we're going through is this kind of collective awakening um to the reality of this broken corrupt system right and i think you see that with u.s senators saying and the federal reserve and the irs you see that with the trump administration openly talking about the year 1913 what happened 1913 the irs was established and the federal reserve was established right um so you know what is going on here like what what is happening like what what's going on what's happening uh you know why why why is everyone asking these questions well it's simple we were sold on the idea that the income tax and the federal reserve would make society better as a whole specifically the federal reserve the federal reserve their whole job was to keep unemployment under control and keep inflation under control that is the whole purpose of the federal reserve now what i keep saying even ron paul has said this is the two worst depressions and recessions in american history have happened under the federal reserve 19 the the 1929 and the 2008 financial crisis which has completely impoverished my generation entirely right we are we are poorer than our parents it it's an undeniable fact right so if the system is broken you start to ask questions about it do you think it's a coincidence that bitcoin was invented in 2009 or discovered or or or bitcoin started in 2008 2008 right after the great financial crisis do you think it's a coincidence that in the genesis block it literally says chancellor on the brink of the second bailout for banks do you think that's a coincidence no bitcoin was a response to the broken system bitcoin was a response to the fact that satoshi knew that central banking was broken and is broken but remember if we want to effectuate change you have to essentially make these ideas culturally acceptable to the masses because when ron paul started talking about all of this no one really listened to him no one cared no one you know like people would say you know this guy's crazy this guy's insane this guy doesn't know what he's talking about but ron paul was right like that's the part that no one talks about ron paul was right he was 100 right he was he was right about the income tax he was right about the central bank and it only was until 15 20 years later when these systems are getting to the point where again if you're a millennial if you're a gen z-er you are not happy you're not happy the world has gotten wealthier technology has advanced but you have gotten poor you are poorer than your parents you have less opportunities than your parents the age of which home ownership starts has gotten higher the marriage age has gotten higher the amount of kids people are having are less why is all of that what the f happened in 1971 what happened in 1971 right um so lots of questions there so anyhow we have to continue to move the overton window as we have done on on on all the other topics and here is jack mallers talking about essentially the uh you know let's let's check it out i i honestly believe over the next 12 to 36 months or so we're going to see drastic changes in monetary policy listen we need trump to get in office and we need to understand what his plan is but he's even hinted at having some oversight and control over the federal reserve is it beyond us that the way trump sees himself taming inflation controlling financial markets while allowing the s p and assets to rise in the greater interest of the people maybe he wants besant to be the fed chairman and lead the treasury is that beyond us is trump going to exercise his right to have further oversight over the fed would that imply and mean that trump is going to use some form of yield curve control to exercise absolute control at both ends of the market and make sure that assets pump and inflation is relatively tamed at the expense of those that hold the dollar is that what he means by weaker dollar and strengthening our exports so again we are living through you know some people call it the fourth turning some people call it you know many things um we are uncharted territory with the tariffs with 1913 being thrown around left and right with senators saying and the income tax this is a historical administration right you had democrats who um who left the party and joined this administration to essentially make this uh you know a historical because people were asking for historical change and the reason for that and you have rfk junior you have tulsi gabbard uh part of trump's cabinet and the reason why that is all happening fundamentally i think it comes down to wealth inequality i think it comes down to the fact that people are hurting i think it comes down to the fact that we went through you know multiple decade-long wars for what imagine if all of that money from those wars the war in iraq the war in afghanistan were actually spent on the american people rather than being spent on death because that's essentially what it was spent on um and i think this is what and when when you arrive in these moments in history people want change and where i think people get this wrong and i think people need to wake up is for the first time people have the power in their hands they don't need you know the collective to vote on a better leader to make sure that the direction of the country is on the right path people can now vote with their wallet they can vote to opt out of that said system into bitcoin they don't need to wear they don't need to wait they don't need to you know wait for the trump administration to do this they don't need to wait for you know jerome powell to do that they don't need to wait you know for anything they could literally start living a better life today right now if they want to all they have to do is just opt out and choose bitcoin so opti what's your take on all this man i mean historical times i think maulers is right i think trump definitely has something up his sleeve we know that him and powell have been fighting right apparently i saw an interview with uh beset uh being interviewed and he was like no i have tea with powell you know every morning or something like there every week i have lunch with powell like you know and then you have trump basically calling for you know powell to lower interest rates and again you know we always hear about this word democracy like democracy this democracy that that's like one of the the most the word i hear all the effing time right um but my question is is like is it really a democratic system if the person who gets to make the decisions about the money isn't democratically appointed they're appointed by the president every six years and the president doesn't have the ability to fire that person right like that's crazy opti what are your thoughts bro well you know democracy the god that failed uh as the book is named i think is a good starting place for a lot of people um look i i do believe in this thesis or theory or hypothesis that has been kind of circulating around twitter and kind of macro groups this idea that what we're seeing play out right now is essentially the trump administration trying to reel in jay powell and the federal reserve it does seem from all things that i've seen that is the game being played right now and of course like i said it earlier you know and the fed the federal reserve is a cancerous institution it's not federal it has no reserves it's literally the biggest ponzi scheme that the world has ever seen it is the main mechanism to fund the military industrial complex that we all have lived and been a part of they're literally creating money out of thin air it's literally useless papers that we spend our lives to acquire and we see that there's a small excuse me there's a small cabal of people that control and manipulate the variables of that money that is literally a crucial core technology of society i saw actually shout out to jesse myers what's his twitter creases btc he dropped a really good article the other day i think it was last week on friday or something like that and he essentially made the case that the the differentiating factor between homo sapiens and neanderthals or and every other you know bipedal human-like species that's ever been on planet earth is the fact that we were able to essentially create money that we could think in abstract terms and that's a fundamental building block of why humans are humans and yet we've found ourselves in this position where we trust you know a small group of people to manipulate those factors because we think that they can control this very complex thing known as the economy it just makes absolutely no sense like human action is very complicated and i find it pretty ridiculous that we've been bamboozled for so long to believe that you know 12 people or a small group of really smart high iq people can manipulate the economy for the the better of all of the people in society it just doesn't work that way that's not how society works that's not how economics works and yet we've gotten to this point where that's where the majority of people believe is is the right way to move forward like this is the status quo this is this is the myth that we live upon in this current moment but this is why we have bitcoin now we can see that there is a money that no one can manipulate that there aren't variables to manipulate that is you know algorithmically locked at 21 million over a long course of time we know when the monetary supply schedule bitcoin will play out or roughly know when it will play out so everything is you know telegraphed into the future and therefore we have something that is stable a you know a hard cap currency a hard cap money something that doesn't change so therefore we can make our measurements and our calculations of how society and economics will work out and therefore you find you know that life is a lot easier when you don't have to readjust your economic calculations based every month off what a few people want to do and literally we're seeing right now like i'm pretty sure jay powell just started speaking or he's about to speak and the markets are tanking like it was pumping going into the meeting and right now you know bitcoin just hit 85k like 15 minutes ago and now we are under 84k it's like a 83.9 so we're seeing this play out in real time but yet this is the status quo where people think this is normal that people think this is exactly how a modern society should be run is that we should entrust a small group of people to manipulate the money supply for better outcomes it's absolutely ridiculous and this is why we don't we don't we this is why the show exists in the first place we don't have to deal with this we just like stack bitcoin take that bitcoin into cold storage you know the bitcoin price fluctuating is not necessarily a bitcoin issue the volatility is a good thing powell is on live shouts out to thomas he just sent us five bucks yeah so you know he's he's uh he's he's trying to calm down the masses here and being like trust us bro we know what we're doing here we we got this under control and yet the markets have been freaking out the last two weeks and and people think this is normal it's absolutely insane i just have you know a monetary unit that doesn't change it's bitcoin yes the the exchange rate to fiat currencies may fluctuate yes it is volatile but i'm always reminded of that one chart of the weimar republic you know as currencies start to hyperinflate as we see increase uncertainty in society these fiat prices start to you know oscillate and and be extremely volatile and yet as most bitcoiners would say one bitcoin equals one bitcoin and it's not bitcoin that's volatile it's the fiat world that's volatile against bitcoin it is a you know a wave crashing on a giant rock bitcoin is that rock so uh nico i see you pull this up i don't know yeah i mean let's play some of it it's crazy to me just to kind of add to what opti was saying right is that you know everyone is looking at what this single gentleman is going to say his words hold weight his words will either sink the market it'll make the market go up uh what a what an archaic system you know it reminds me of the south like south park had a meme on this elon had you know some comments about it it's like look it's better to have a magic eight ball making decisions about the economy than than the current system today right so yes everyone's watching this um you know this is like financial you know super sports this is like the event to watch uh you know everyone's like talking about you know no cuts no cuts like this is this is this is insane um this is like the very definition of a centrally planned economy and market um this is absolutely crazy um but anyways um yeah anyhow guys if you guys enjoyed today's show you know it'd be crazy wait wait wait one thing oh god nico there's one thing i want to say before we leave it it's about the chat guys uh block this fake simply bitcoin account in the chat posting some whatsapp stuff mods do your job i think he has his block so i can't see it all right anyways go i do want to give a shout out before we before we go we are going the simply bitcoin crew will be in las vegas for the bitcoin 2025 conference embrace the game theory it's the world's largest bitcoin conference that's it's going to be at the venetian hotel may 27th through the 29th in las vegas nevada the world's largest bitcoin conference i call it the bitcoin nfl super bowl weekend uh you know all the biggest bitcoiners are going to be there you definitely don't want to miss this bitcoin celebration again may 27th through the 29th las vegas nevada get your tickets now before the prices go up you can use promo code simply to get 10 off again promo code simply to get 10 off your tickets to bitcoin 2025 we hope to see you guys in vegas the entire simply bitcoin crew will be there anyways guys we hope you enjoyed today's show uh we hope we provided you guys value if you guys did make sure to smash that like button consider subscribing to simply bitcoin uh appreciate all y'all for watching and uh giving us the love and support it really really helps us keep this show going and uh yeah guys love you all smash the like button hit the subscribe button and we'll see you tomorrow for a brand new episode of simply bitcoin live peace out everybody today's episode was brought to you by bitcoinwell.com a bitcoin-only platform on a mission to enable financial independence